So remember last week, when Lester Zook listed the reasons the Denver Broncos would win the Super Bowl. I know he said might, and it would be mean to rub it in his face. After all, where’s my Saints win over the Niners? It only exists in my head (and what a wonderful world that is).
So instead of berating Lester for his wrong prediction, we’ll let him defend himself. Take it away, Lester!
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I decided to google image "waaaaahhhh tebow." This was the first image that came up!
Looks like I was wrong, eh?
The Patriots/Broncos game – if you can call it that – has been over for about thirty minutes and I’ve received: four text messages, three instant messages, and two Facebook messages about the game. I honestly expected more, because, after all, I have gone on record to “defend” Tim Tebow. I think ole #15 is a great guy, and I share a lot of the same views he does. I have the utmost respect for what Tebow does for people who are suffering, who are in pain, and for his fans. In his postgame press conference, after getting destroyed by the Patriots, he discussed how blessed he was to have the ability to help change people’s lives. When asked about his performance, Tebow provided his standard, “Everyone played hard, I’m proud of the effort we showed…” blah, blah, blah. Everyone knows that Tebow isn’t going to throw his team under the bus, and it’s been widely established that Tebow will say he needs to improve for his team to play better.
That’s the great thing about Tim Tebow, he won’t throw YOU under the bus. Are you done rolling your eyes yet? Come on, it was just a shameless attempt at trying to apply a guilt trip. Didn’t work? Alright, fine. First, I want to make something perfectly clear. I am not a Tim Tebow apologist. I support Tim Tebow as a person, but I do think he can develop into an “average” quarterback. I didn’t say he’s the second coming of Peyton or Eli Manning, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, or Tom Brady. I don’t think Tim Tebow will be on the same level as “Big” Ben Roethlisberger, Matt Schaub, Matt Stafford, Tony Romo or Mike Vick. If everything goes right, I can see Tim Tebow being on the same level as someone like Joe Flacco, Tavaris Jackson, Matt Moore, or Alex Smith. Maybe a little better then Matt Sanchez, and a hell of a lot better than Rex Grossman.
With that out of the way, I’m not blaming Tim Tebow for the severe ass beating the Broncos received up in Foxborough. The New England Patriots out coached and out played the Denver Broncos. Here’s Tim Tebow’s stat line from the game…
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Denver Broncos
|
Comp
|
Attempts
|
Yards
|
Comp %
|
Y/A
|
TD
|
INT
|
Rating
|
|
Tim Tebow
|
9
|
26
|
136
|
34.6
|
5.2
|
0
|
0
|
52.7
|
Just looking at the numbers, yeah, that’s a really crappy game. The only time any of the “Top 5” (P. Manning, Brady, Rodgers, E. Manning and Brees) has a game like that is on a video game, specifically, in the hands of a five year old who has no idea what’s going on. “JUST LIKE TEBOW!” I’m sure one of you thought, and no, not just like Tebow. There’s a big difference between “knowing” what’s going on and “understanding” what’s going on. It’s my goal to help everyone understand why ole Timmy Tebow looked like a chump against the crappy Pats defense.
At the beginning of the game I broke out the clip board and started to track Tebow’s throws. Just in case you were ever wondering what backup QBs did with those clipboards on the sidelines, well, now you know. The backup QB tracks the completions, drops, deflections, play calling on specific downs and situations…a variety of small statistical information that helps the head coach and offensive coordinator do their job properly. It’s different for every team, and sometimes the coaching staff has a guy up in the booth doing this while the backup QBs are sending in plays.
Some interesting numbers popped up at me…specifically the amount of drops in the game. Now, a drop can be the QB’s fault just as easily as the WRs. If the QB delivers a duck into coverage and the WR drops it because he is getting blown up…personally, I don’t count that as a drop. I count that as a bad throw that the WR tried to haul in. To me, a drop is when a WR does not bring in a catchable ball. Doesn’t matter if you’re going to get hit or not, if you’ve played football before, you know you’re going to get hit. I counted four drops in the game (1 in the 1st Q, 2 in the 2nd Q, and 1 in the 3rd Q) two of those drops were on third down. Obviously converting on 3rd down is a big part of football, and when you are driving and need to make up a ton of points then you need to convert on every third down possible. One of those drops wouldn’t have gained any yards as it fell at the feet of Willis McGahee in the flats with a lot of heat bearing down on him. Two of the drops were by Demaryius Thomas, on third down nonetheless, and the last was a drop by Eddie Royal on the sideline. There was some heat coming down on him, but he got two hands on the ball with no contact.
For argument’s sake, let’s add those 4 drops into the completions side, and give Tebow the average yardage (5.2 yards) just to see how he would have looked.
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Denver Broncos
|
Comp
|
Attempts
|
Yards
|
Comp %
|
Y/A
|
TD
|
INT
|
Rating
|
|
Tim Tebow
|
13
|
26
|
151
|
50.0
|
5.2
|
0
|
0
|
67.9
|
Still not a very sexy line, but it does go to show how a few errors by other players can directly affect the performance of an entire offense. Were those drops going to change the outcome of the game? No chance. Tom Brady was carving up the Denver defense with ease. Would have Denver put some more points up on the board? It’s possible, but we’ll never know.
Taking a deeper look into the stats, I think it’s safe to say that Denver’s offensive philosophy was based around this philosophy. Pick up some yards on 1st down, then depending on the yards to the next first down, and the defensive look, we’ll either run or pass. If it’s less than six yards, we’re running the ball, if it’s over then we’re throwing. Now if you’re the defensive coordinator on the other team, and you pick up on this trend, it makes your job a hell of a lot easier. Here’s the break down for Tebow throwing on 1st through 4th down…
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Completions
|
Attempts
|
Yards
|
Touchdowns
|
Interceptions
|
|
1st Down
|
0
|
4
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
|
2nd Down
|
3
|
8
|
24
|
0
|
0
|
|
3rd Down
|
4
|
11
|
56
|
0
|
0
|
|
4th Down
|
2
|
3
|
56
|
0
|
0
|
I’m not too sure why the Broncos didn’t throw the ball more, especially when they’re down by 21+ points in the second quarter, but hey, I don’t get paid millions to coach football. Hell, I don’t even get paid to write! Maybe John Fox and company thought it was possible to break off some big runs, force some turnovers, and get back into the game. Personally, I think the game plan was far too conservative. Even if you don’t trust your QB to throw the ball, what’s the difference between losing by 30 and 40? An ass beating is an ass beating no matter what.
The way I see it, I cannot judge Tim Tebow just yet. Sure, he’s had some really, really, really, crappy throws and has looked totally lost on the field at times. Then he follows it up with some very impressive throws and game winning drives. There is some potential, but the only way we’re going to see the “best” Tim Tebow has to offer as a quarterback is if a few things happen in either of these scenarios.
- The Denver Broncos need to commit to building a team around Tim Tebow’s strengths.
- Develop a core of WRs who can not only run block, but who can also stretch the field.
- Sign a TE who is more of a threat in the passing game then he is in the running game.
- Develop an offensive line that can properly pass protect
- The Grand Donkey (John Elway) comes down from his office and decides work with Tebow during the offseason.
- During this time Elway, an arguable GoAT, will determine if Tebow can be “fixed” for an NFL offense.
- If it is determined that Tebow can be “fixed” then Elway will get to work.
John Elway knows that John Fox couldn’t develop a passing attack to save his life, so if “Option 2” takes place then I would expect to see John Fox hitting the road. Then again there is always Option 3…
- The Denver Broncos trade or cut Tim Tebow and start over.
Lots of options and only time will tell what the “right” move is. Some of my peers have already determined that Tebow is not an NFL QB, while others are taking a wait and see approach. People were quick to judge Alex Smith after his rookie year and he’s turned out to be a serviceable quarterback.